During a side-event roundtable dialogue of African
Central Bank Governors on Monetary and
Exchange Rate Policy, Debt Sustainability Amidst Global and Economic Slowdown, on
the 3rd of April, 2016 at the ongoing African Development week
(#ADW2016) in Addis, Ababa-Ethiopia, it was established that 2016 has been a
challenging year for Africa and even promises to be one of the worst years
economically since the 1980s.
During his official opening statement at the beginning
of #ADW2016, H.E Dr. Anthony Mothae Maruping Commissioner for Economic Affairs,
African Union Commission , stated that a lot of African countries are facing
fallen demand in export commodities resulting in fall of prices, eroded tax
bases and the strengthening of the US Dollar against African currencies.
When prices of export commodities fall, it creates
significant shocks to local markets. Finance ministers then need to come up
with plans to mitigate these shocks to stabilize currencies through foreign
exchange policies and then manage inflation from getting out of hands. The
answers increasingly are coming from central banks through providing interesting
alternative for raising capital.
Dr. Carlos Lopes who is the Executive Secretary of the
United Nations Economic Commission for Africa, acknowledged the unprecedented
disconnect between financial and real sectors, which are altering global
structural relationships and complicated development policy. In 2014, African
currencies depreciated by 10.4% against US dollars and increased to about 20%
in 2015 for some countries.
Nigeria in particular saw 15 billion Dollars wiped off
from its reserve and 3.4% reduction of GDP growth it was experiencing. Dr. Lopes’s
position that, fiscal tax policy should become more center stage than
development aid is thus a welcome one. I’ll
explain.
I am armed with the presentation of Professor Njuguna
Ndung’u, the former governor central bank of Kenya and one of the governors
present at the round table. To assert the 21st century he mentioned
some steps Africa needs to take which include; improving governance and
resolving conflict, reducing aid dependence and strengthening partnerships.
To invite partnerships and investment, to reduce aid
dependence we need good infrastructure delivery which needs good governance as
a necessary condition. When we have good infrastructure to aid business
transactions, it wouldn’t be much of a stretch to attract foreign investments
without necessarily enticing them with harmful tax incentives.
This means that Public investment is very important; to
give us the leverage we desperately need to bring in private investments into
our continent.
According to the High Level Panel on Illicit Financial
Flows, a poor business environment may encourage IFFs when
people find it easier to make money through illicit activities than through
legitimate business.
The question then becomes how to finance the public
investments, a brilliant idea was raised. Central banks need to do more to
support the governments fight to stem illicit financial flows.
Strong
legal frameworks and enforcement agencies make it difficult for individuals and
companies to move illicit resources.
There also should be long term sustainability,
building resilience in African economies, transformative financial system
brought about by policy lessons: conditioned by exchange rate regime, structure
of markets, financial market development, and legal frameworks.
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